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S&P 500 (^GSPC)

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4.280,15+72,88 (+1,73%)
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  • B
    BD
    $^IXIC conversation
    Every time the market makes a new high and has profit taking, you short and sideline weak longs make all sorts of non-sense claims, only to be body slammed by a bigger rally days later. All you need to do is look at the 5 day chart and 3 month charts. 99% shorts the past 3 months are under water bleeding money, and weak sideline longs missed out on a 22% rally in less than 2 months time. My strategy is buy the dip. If it tanks harder, I buy calls instead because because will gain value even faster during rallies to new monthly highs, and then I sell my calls and buy more shares. I'm up big while short and weak sideline longs debate non-sense, trying to scare each other silly and watch their portfolios keep going down or stay flat. LoL

    It seriously doesn't take a genius to figure out those buying at the bottoms are the ones making the real money WHEN, not if, the market continues to new all time highs.

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  • J
    JohnnyBGood
    $^IXIC conversation
    Rejoice, for the bear market is over. A new bull market started in June.

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  • B
    BD
    $^IXIC conversation
    Just remember, buy and hold long game ALWAYS wins long term. US markets go up over time. The selling pressures during the first half of the year has eased up big, and only fear and lagging inflation is causing investors to hesitate. Earnings is good. Revenue is high due to inflation and profit is acceptable, and will get better as inflation stabilizes. Those who hesitate will FOMO chase at much higher prices. Shorts will see countless divorces and bankruptcies.

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  • B
    BD
    $^IXIC conversation
    LOLOLOLOLOLOLOL I wouldn't be surprised to see a 3-4% rally day again today. My calls will be printing. Shorts were warned, repeatedly it's not even funny anymore. June was the low, and this bear market is over as I predicted ;)

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  • J
    JohnnyBGood
    $^IXIC conversation
    Calling all shorts. How's your puts doing? Covered yet? Or planning to lose it all, or worse, unlimited losses from shorting actual shares??? Asking for a friend.

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  • B
    BD
    $^IXIC conversation
    Some people should not be allowed near the stock market. In the news today, inflation is down, signaling CPI has peaked, like core PCE peaked in March. Do you know what else is down today and for the foreseeable future????

    Wait
    ....
    For
    ....
    It
    ....

    Shorts' portfolios LoL

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  • B
    BD
    $^IXIC conversation
    Last chance to cover and go long. I think tomorrow regardless of CPI numbers, we see a YUUUGGGEE relief rally. Market trend is up. Any sell off is for buying the dip and shorts covering who's been trapped for 3 months now. Market will ignore this figure because there's one more until Sept Fed meeting.

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  • B
    BD
    $^IXIC conversation
    I warned you guys 5 mins before Tuesday's close that was the last chance to cover your shorts and go long (although to be fair, I've been warning you all for well over a month now that shorts will be covering much higher and longs FOMO buying much higher if they delayed), and that this would be shorts after CPI reported and predicted the Nasdaq would do a 3-4% day. Well, it got close at 2.89% LOL. Remember when I predicted we'd see a 4-5% up day on the Nasdaq after the Fed decision and we saw 4%+???? HAH, I even warned about the COVID crash a month before it happened, that it would be one of the worst. I just didn't expect the market to rally so high after the Feds capitulated. I can't be right all the time ya know? I warned you guys well over a month ago a yuuuggeee Bullish Falling Wedge pattern was forming on the 3 month chart (look up "Bullish Falling Wedge") and we'd rally like no tomorrow. I officially called June 16 was the bottom overa month ago and predicted articles will be coming out months after the fact saying the same thing.

    In fact, I think we might even see the all time highs again in early 2023. I totally would not be surprised to see it before 2022 is over. Anyways, I'm going to ride this new bull market back up and make a killn'. Ya'll do whatever ya'll want. I try to help everyone, but I can't help the unwilling.

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  • B
    BD
    $^IXIC conversation
    Hate to say.... I. TOLD. YOU. SO. I sleep well at night knowing the all time highs are coming back, and a shiz ton of shorts were trapped the past few days. EPIC short squeeze will commence soon, propelling the Nasdaq above 13K, to the 13.5K resistance. WHEN, not IF, that's taken out, it's back to 15K, and then finally the all time highs. I'm seldom wrong guys. You should know this by now. Don't be surprised to see te Nasdaq do 3%+ today. LOL

    Lots of divorces and bankruptcies coming for shorts.

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  • B
    BD
    $^IXIC conversation
    You guys remember the last June CPI report (released mid July) that came in hot? The market sold off, only to continue recover back up. It doesn't matter if the CPI report comes out hot or not. The market trend is up. More and more shorts trapped each time there's a dip, only to be followed by an even more massive rip.

    Higher highs and higher lows for 2 months now. Trend is up. Market is forward looking. Don't let the volatility fool you, or you'll end up broke, bitter, and brain dead like shorts, blaming the continued rally on manipulation when it's them who's closed their minds and not accepting reality. All time highs before year end is a real possibility.

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  • B
    BD
    $^IXIC conversation
    I'll try to explain what's going on to curious minds, short or long, and what I think could happen. After all, we're all here to share/gain knowledge, opinions.

    Earlier this July, I predicted we'd see a massive rally after the Bullish Falling Wedge chart pattern completed, and dared officially called mid June the bottom, long before any articles came out even suggesting it. I predicted the first resistance would be 12.5K on the Nasdaq. Once that's taken out, 13.5K would be next. Thing is, even in bear markets, the charts always do these 50% retraces, sometimes spanning months. This next retrace should take the Nasdaq to the high 12K range, meaning the rally will continue into next week. However, resistance isn't until 13.5K so I expect the rally to hit that at least.

    And don't forget, I predicted the 4% rally the other day, leading to the best month since 2020 COVID recovery.

    Conditions such as inflation (or less of it), future events, China lockdowns (or lack thereof), critical news etc. all play a role in shaping charts though, just as when a hot CPI crashed the first attempt at a 50% retrace in early June.

    I believe this rally is a combination of a technical bounce, as well as a bottom being formed due to inflation peaking and Q2 earnings being decent. Inflation and fear of Fed raising rates initially spooked the market into a sell off for 6 months. The market hates uncertainty.

    Historically though, even in the face of raising rates, that alone doesn't always trigger sell offs or recessions. If raising rates and other factors lower inflation just enough, coupled with a strong economy and good earnings, we may never see a recession, and the market will eventually make a new all time high again. That's the trillion dollar question, whether or not we see a recession. That's what longs and shorts are fighting about.

    In my opinion, rates at these levels aren't enough to trigger a recession. If companies manage to report solid earnings quarter after quarter, stocks will eventually make its way back to the ATHs.

    The panic selling during the first half of the year happened from uncertainty, China zero COVID lockdowns, increasing inflation from supply chains, and Putin's invasion of Ukraine, leading to higher inflation. All of that has mostly eased, therefore there's no reason to panic sell anymore. Any selling is promptly bought by longs and shorts covering. As such, once the market does the expected 50% retrace next week or two, if the CPI report shows inflation has peaked, that could trigger a massive rally breaching the expected 13.5K resistance and therefore signal chart readers and algos to pile in, leading back to new all time highs.

    Summary: If inflation has truly peaked, unless China locks down again, or China invades Taiwan, or Putin shuts down all oil and gas to Europe, or some other black swan event, there's no more panic reason to sell. The market would have bottomed in June and is now making its way back to new all time highs, possibly by year end of early 2023.

    There is a possibility we make new ATHs before a recession actually hits, which would then trigger the real selling of 30-60% tankage from the ATHs.

    I'm confident now is a good time (as during recessions) to load up so I've started Roth IRAs for my 6 and 9 year olds.

    Good luck guys. Remember, charts represent everyone buying and selling. In the absence of real market-moving news, trust charts to tell you the truth regardless of fake and misguided headline articles.

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  • J
    JohnnyBGood
    $^IXIC conversation
    Are shorts dead yet? How about weak longs? Shell shocked with regret?

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  • B
    BD
    $^IXIC conversation
    Learning how to read charts is the MOST important skill anyone can teach themselves. Too bad shorties don't know how to read charts. They were warned repeatedly. The worst thing possible during a recovery after a crash isn't missing out on the gains, but being short and watching your portfolio drip in blood red, day after day, week after week, month after month, until the all time highs are back, and then the wife divorces you.

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  • J
    JohnnyBGood
    $^IXIC conversation
    Market already bottomed in June but many shorts still haven't covered. More desperate shorts trapped each day. Epic short squeeze about to commence after Naz 12.5K resistance gets taken out. Shorts won't enjoy looking at their portfolios when the market is back at the all time highs later this year, or early 2023. Inflation peaked.

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  • J
    John
    Bitcoin USD
    Market already bottomed in June but many shorts still haven't covered. More desperate shorts trapped each day. Epic short squeeze about to commence after Naz 12.5K resistance gets taken out. Shorts won't enjoy looking at their portfolios when the market is back at the all time highs later this year, or early 2023. Inflation peaked. $QQQ $SPY $SQQQ $TQQQ $^GSPC
  • B
    BD
    $^IXIC conversation
    I'll make a prediction. Tomorrow's employment report is a non-issue in the greater picture. No matter what happens, even if there's a brief sell off, it's an opportunity for sideline longs and smart longs to load up (still very) cheap, and for misguided shorts to cover at less of a loss (more than a few weeks ago), but less than a total loss if they continue to wait. The real kicker is next Weds when CPI is released. There might be some selling Monday and/or Tuesday, but if it sells off 1-2% red, close your shorts and start buying long would be the smart thing to do. With oil at a 6 month low, gas trending down since June, commodities down, and wheat down with Russia exporting 50x (FIFTY TIMES) more than their normal exports out of Crimea with stolen Ukrainian grain AND with Ukraine now exporting their own grain, US using less oil than expected, and China being dumb with zero COVID policy, inflation should continue to go down lower and lower. In fact, annual projections put inflation around 3% by the end of 2023.

    That means once CPI is released and if it confirms CPI inflation having peaked in June (Core PCE peaked in March), the market will rally hard. This will push all indices above the 50% retrace level, which signals all smart, legit chart readers, fund managers, as well as AI algos to pile in with ungodly amounts of money, steering the market back to the all time highs. Holdout shorts, which there are many if you read the comments here, will be panic covering at YYYUUUGGGEEE losses and regretting big time they didn't cover and went long back in June and July or even early August. Sideline longs all in cash will start FOMO buying while smart longs and traders like myself who shorted during the first half of the year and then went long in late June/early July will be laughing all the way to the bank.

    Recessions and crashes truly are the best times to buy. Forget the moon guys. We're bypassing the moon and going straight to the stars.

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  • B
    BD
    $^IXIC conversation
    This dude raised the S&P target to 4,400 by year end. I think we make all time highs again before year end is over if inflation continues down and Q3 earnings and outlook are decent. That'll mean no recession (ie soft landing) and inflation back to 2% by 2024. Market is forward looking so Nasdaq could be 20K+ by then.

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    “Inflation is likely to sharply decline soon in a (highly unusual, COVID policy-shaped) non-recession slowdown,” Bannister wrote in his note. He expects “cyclical growth” stocks will see “a strong relief rally as inflation slows, Fed expectations are pulled back, and the economy has the balance sheet and momentum in 2022 to mitigate recession risk.”

    In late June, Bannister predicted that “cyclical growth” would lead a 10% “relief rally” for the S&P 500 this summer. The U.S. stock market surged last month, with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average each booking their biggest monthly gains since November 2020 while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite scored its best July ever.

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  • O
    OSDA
    $^IXIC conversation
    ONLY GOOD VIBES!!!

    My investment portfolio is going steadily upwards since last June with very tiny ripples which doesn't matter.

    Big Money desperately trying to curb stock markets recovery with faked news: weaved wars, artificial fuel restrictions, and all kind of negative non-sense biased information.

    Can anyone imagine the indexes are going back down to June levels? NO WAY!

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  • B
    BD
    $^IXIC conversation
    Confident shorts this week after they get wt[]= pwned by bulls after CPI inflation report comes in under 9%, confirming inflation has peaked. All time highs before 2022 is over is a real possibility with jobs report confirming no recession.

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  • J
    JohnnyBGood
    $^IXIC conversation
    It's clear after earnings is halfway done that inflation has increased revenue and profit isn't bad. Inflation has peaked, market bottomed in June, Feds believe a soft landing and lower rates is possible. Markets will rally from here. Profit will improve as people realize there is no recession, and inflation stabilizes. MASSIVE short squeeze coming. I'm the 80s, the recovery after Feds raised rates only took 4 months and was much faster than the sell off. ATHs before year end, baby!

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