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PotlatchDeltic Stock Gives Every Indication Of Being Modestly Overvalued

- By GF Value

The stock of PotlatchDeltic (NAS:PCH, 30-year Financials) is estimated to be modestly overvalued, according to GuruFocus Value calculation. GuruFocus Value is GuruFocus' estimate of the fair value at which the stock should be traded. It is calculated based on the historical multiples that the stock has traded at, the past business growth and analyst estimates of future business performance. If the price of a stock is significantly above the GF Value Line, it is overvalued and its future return is likely to be poor. On the other hand, if it is significantly below the GF Value Line, its future return will likely be higher. At its current price of $59.39 per share and the market cap of $4 billion, PotlatchDeltic stock is believed to be modestly overvalued. GF Value for PotlatchDeltic is shown in the chart below.


PotlatchDeltic Stock Gives Every Indication Of Being Modestly Overvalued
PotlatchDeltic Stock Gives Every Indication Of Being Modestly Overvalued

Because PotlatchDeltic is relatively overvalued, the long-term return of its stock is likely to be lower than its business growth, which is estimated to grow 9.97% annually over the next three to five years.

ANUNCIO

Link: These companies may deliever higher future returns at reduced risk.

It is always important to check the financial strength of a company before buying its stock. Investing in companies with poor financial strength have a higher risk of permanent loss. Looking at the cash-to-debt ratio and interest coverage is a great way to understand the financial strength of a company. PotlatchDeltic has a cash-to-debt ratio of 0.33, which is better than 85% of the companies in REITs industry. The overall financial strength of PotlatchDeltic is 5 out of 10, which indicates that the financial strength of PotlatchDeltic is fair. This is the debt and cash of PotlatchDeltic over the past years:

PotlatchDeltic Stock Gives Every Indication Of Being Modestly Overvalued
PotlatchDeltic Stock Gives Every Indication Of Being Modestly Overvalued

Investing in profitable companies carries less risk, especially in companies that have demonstrated consistent profitability over the long term. Typically, a company with high profit margins offers better performance potential than a company with low profit margins. PotlatchDeltic has been profitable 10 years over the past 10 years. During the past 12 months, the company had revenues of $1 billion and earnings of $2.47 a share. Its operating margin of 22.83% worse than 75% of the companies in REITs industry. Overall, GuruFocus ranks PotlatchDeltic's profitability as fair. This is the revenue and net income of PotlatchDeltic over the past years:

PotlatchDeltic Stock Gives Every Indication Of Being Modestly Overvalued
PotlatchDeltic Stock Gives Every Indication Of Being Modestly Overvalued

Growth is probably the most important factor in the valuation of a company. GuruFocus research has found that growth is closely correlated with the long term performance of a company's stock. The faster a company is growing, the more likely it is to be creating value for shareholders, especially if the growth is profitable. The 3-year average annual revenue growth rate of PotlatchDeltic is -2.2%, which ranks in the middle range of the companies in REITs industry. The 3-year average EBITDA growth rate is 1.6%, which ranks in the middle range of the companies in REITs industry.

Another method of determining the profitability of a company is to compare its return on invested capital to the weighted average cost of capital. Return on invested capital (ROIC) measures how well a company generates cash flow relative to the capital it has invested in its business. The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is the rate that a company is expected to pay on average to all its security holders to finance its assets. When the ROIC is higher than the WACC, it implies the company is creating value for shareholders. For the past 12 months, PotlatchDeltic's return on invested capital is 9.70, and its cost of capital is 8.60. The historical ROIC vs WACC comparison of PotlatchDeltic is shown below:

PotlatchDeltic Stock Gives Every Indication Of Being Modestly Overvalued
PotlatchDeltic Stock Gives Every Indication Of Being Modestly Overvalued

To conclude, the stock of PotlatchDeltic (NAS:PCH, 30-year Financials) is estimated to be modestly overvalued. The company's financial condition is fair and its profitability is fair. Its growth ranks in the middle range of the companies in REITs industry. To learn more about PotlatchDeltic stock, you can check out its 30-year Financials here.

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This article first appeared on GuruFocus.